Jakub Bijak is Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton. He is a statistical demographer, with experience of working in academia and international civil service since 2001. His research focuses on demographic uncertainty, population and migration models and forecasts, and the demography of armed conflict. For his work on migration modelling he has been awarded the Allianz European Demographer Award (2015) and the Jerzy Z Holzer Medal (2007). He has experience in successfully...
| Migration Reasearch Hub ID: 1130 | |
| ORCID | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2563-5040 |
Expertise
Migration processes
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Migration drivers
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Migration forms
Migration consequences (for migrants, sending and receiving countries)
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Socio-economic consequences
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Transversal consequences
Cross-cutting topics in migration research
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Migration research and theory
Disciplines
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Disciplines
Methods
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Other
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Quantitative research
Geographies
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Scope
Roles
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University of Southampton
University, Southampton, United Kingdom
Professor of Statistical Demography
Research
Mapping secondary data gaps for social simulation modelling: A case study of the journeys of Syrian asylum seekers to Europe
| Authors | Sarah Nurse, Martin Hinsch, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2024 |
| Journal Name | Open Research Europe |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Simulation studies of social systems: telling the story based on provenance patterns
| Authors | Pia Wilsdorf, Oliver Reinhardt, Toby Prike, ... |
| Year | 2024 |
| Journal Name | Royal Society Open Science |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
European migration governance in the context of uncertainty
| Authors | Mathias Czaika, Mathias Czaika, Heidrun Bohnet, ... |
| Year | 2024 |
| Journal Name | International Migration |
Assessing Timely Migration Trends Through Digital Traces: A Case Study of the UK Before Brexit
| Authors | Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak, Agnese Vitali, ... |
| Year | 2024 |
| Journal Name | International Migration Review |
Exploring the Potential of Using a Text-Based Game to Inform Simulation Models of Risky Migration Decisions
| Authors | Ariana Modirrousta-Galian, Ariana Modirrousta-Galian, Toby Prike, ... |
| Year | 2024 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
The Effects of Information on the Formation of Migration Routes and the Dynamics of Migration
| Authors | Martin Hinsch, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2023 |
| Journal Name | Artificial Life |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
From Conflict Zones to Europe: Syrian and Afghan Refugees’ Journeys, Stories, and Strategies
| Authors | Souhila Belabbas, Jakub Bijak, Ariana Modirrousta-Galian, ... |
| Year | 2022 |
| Journal Name | Social Inclusion |
| Citations (WoS) | 6 |
The Boundaries of Cognition and Decision Making
| Authors | Toby Prike, Philip A. Higham, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2022 |
| Book Title | Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Building a Knowledge Base for the Model
| Authors | Sarah Nurse, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2022 |
| Book Title | Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Forecasting: theory and practice
| Authors | Fotios Petropoulos, Daniele Apiletti, Vassilios Assimakopoulos, ... |
| Year | 2022 |
| Journal Name | International Journal of Forecasting |
Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2021 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
A Framework for Estimating Migrant Stocks Using Digital Traces and Survey Data: An Application in the United Kingdom
| Authors | Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak, Agnese Vitali, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | Demography |
| Citations (WoS) | 20 |
Toward an Early Warning System for Monitoring Asylum-Related Migration Flows in Europe
| Authors | Joanna Napierała, Jason Hilton, Jonathan J. Forster, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | International Migration Review |
Preface
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Johan Bryant, Elżbieta Gołata, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Official Statistics |
Migration Decision-Making and Its Key Dimensions
| Authors | Mathias Czaika, Jakub Bijak, Toby Prike |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF POLITICAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCE |
| Citations (WoS) | 26 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Paleodemographic analysis of age at death for a population of Black Sea Scythians: An exploration by using Bayesian methods
| Authors | Sylwia Łukasik, Jakub Bijak, Marta Krenz‐Niedbała, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | American Journal of Physical Anthropology |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Stochastic modelling and projection of mortality improvements using a hybrid parametric/semi-parametric age–period–cohort model
| Authors | Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster, Jakub Bijak, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | Scandinavian Actuarial Journal |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Teaching a Modeling Process: Reflections From An Online Course
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, ... |
| Year | 2021 |
| Journal Name | 2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Modelling Migration: Decisions, Processes and Outcomes
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, ... |
| Year | 2020 |
| Journal Name | 2020 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda
| Authors | Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Jakub Bijak, Jonathan J. Forster, ... |
| Year | 2019 |
| Journal Name | Computational Statistics & Data Analysis |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Streamlining Simulation Experiments with Agent-Based Models in Demography
| Authors | Oliver Reinhardt, Jason D. Hilton, Tom Warnke, ... |
| Year | 2018 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Inferring transient dynamics of human populations from matrix non-normality
| Authors | Alex Nicol-Harper, Claire Dooley, David Packman, ... |
| Year | 2018 |
| Journal Name | Population Ecology |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Model-Based Demography: Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2018 |
| Journal Name | Population Studies |
Smoothing mortality data: the English Life Tables , 2010-2012
| Authors | Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster, Jakub Bijak, ... |
| Year | 2018 |
| Journal Name | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society |
Choosing the choice: Reflections on modelling decisions and behaviour in demographic agent-based models
| Authors | Jonathan Gray, Jason Hilton, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2017 |
| Journal Name | Population Studies |
| Citations (WoS) | 1 |
The science of choice: an introduction
| Authors | Frans Willekens, Anna Klabunde, Alexia Prskawetz, ... |
| Year | 2017 |
| Journal Name | Population Studies |
Model-Based Demography: Towards a Research Agenda
| Authors | Daniel Courgeau, Jakub Bijak, Robert Franck, ... |
| Year | 2017 |
| Book Title | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Design and Analysis of Demographic Simulations
| Authors | Jason Hilton, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2017 |
| Book Title | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
Warriors Die Young: Increased Mortality in Early Adulthood of Scythians from Glinoe, Moldova, Fourth through Second Centuries bc
| Authors | Sylwia Łukasik, Jakub Bijak, Marta Krenz-Niedbała, ... |
| Year | 2017 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Anthropological Research |
Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration
| Authors | Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Jonathan J. Forster, Peter W. F. Smith, ... |
| Year | 2016 |
| Journal Name | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, John Bryant |
| Year | 2016 |
| Journal Name | Population Studies |
The Disputed Numbers: In Search of the Demographic Basis for Studies of Armenian Population Losses, 1915–1923
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Sarah Lubman |
| Year | 2016 |
| Book Title | The Armenian Genocide Legacy |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
A multilevel functional data method for forecasting population, with an application to the United Kingdom
| Authors | Han Lin Shang, Peter W.F. Smith, Jakub Bijak, ... |
| Year | 2016 |
| Journal Name | International Journal of Forecasting |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Bayesian Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method
| Authors | Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Peter W. F. Smith, Jakub Bijak, ... |
| Year | 2015 |
| Journal Name | DEMOGRAPHY |
Welfare participation: A comparison between immigrants and natives in the United Kingdom
| Authors | Nele van der Wielen |
| Year | 2015 |
| Journal Name | MIGRATION LETTERS |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Letter to the Editor
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Isabel Alberts, Juha Alho, ... |
| Year | 2015 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Official Statistics |
Forecasting Scottish Migration in the Context of the 2014 Constitutional Change Debate
| Authors | Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Han Lin Shang, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2014 |
| Journal Name | Population, Space and Place |
| Citations (WoS) | 5 |
Semi-Artificial Models of Populations: Connecting Demography with Agent-Based Modelling
| Authors | Eric Silverman, Jakub Bijak, Jason Noble, ... |
| Year | 2014 |
| Book Title | Advances in Computational Social Science |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Quantifying paradigm change in demography
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman, Daniel Courgeau, ... |
| Year | 2014 |
| Journal Name | Demographic Research |
Are the four Baconian idols still alive in demography?
| Authors | Daniel Courgeau, Jakub Bijak, Robert Franck, ... |
| Year | 2014 |
| Journal Name | Revue Quetelet/Quetelet Journal |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model
| Authors | Guy Abel, James Raymer, Peter W.F. Smith, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Demographic Research |
Erratum to: Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models
| Authors | Guy Abel, Jakub Bijak, Allan Findlay, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Population and Environment |
Reforging the Wedding Ring
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman, Jason D. Hilton, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Demographic Research |
Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models
| Authors | Guy Abel, David McCollum, Allan Findlay, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Population and Environment |
| Citations (WoS) | 7 |
Probability and Social Science. Methodological Relationships between the Two Approaches
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Population Studies |
The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002–2052
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Book Title | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Integrated Modeling of European Migration
| Authors | James Raymer, Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Jonathan J. Forster, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Journal of the American Statistical Association |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Utilising Expert Opinion to Improve the Measurement of International Migration in Europe
| Authors | Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Jakub Bijak, Solveig Christiansen, ... |
| Year | 2013 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Official Statistics |
| Citations (WoS) | 8 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2011 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Dealing with Uncertain Forecasts: A Policy Perspective
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2011 |
| Book Title | Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales
| Authors | Guy J Abel, Jakub Bijak, James Raymer |
| Year | 2010 |
| Journal Name | Population Trends |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries by using expert knowledge
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Arkadiusz Wisniowski |
| Year | 2010 |
| Journal Name | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Dealing with uncertainty in international migration predictions: from probabilistic forecasting to decision analysis
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2010 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Forecasting of immigration flows until 2025 for selected European countries using expert information
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Arkadiusz Wiśniowski |
| Year | 2009 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Replacement Migration Revisited: Simulations of the Effects of Selected Population and Labor Market Strategies for the Aging Europe, 2002–2052
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski |
| Year | 2008 |
| Journal Name | Population Research and Policy Review |
| Citations (WoS) | 23 |
Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-052: impact of international migration on population ageing
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, ... |
| Year | 2007 |
| Journal Name | European Journal of Population |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
War-related Deaths in the 1992–1995 Armed Conflicts in Bosnia and Herzegovina: A Critique of Previous Estimates and Recent Results
| Authors | Ewa Tabeau, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2005 |
| Journal Name | European Journal of Population |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Mapping secondary data gaps for social simulation modelling: A case study of Syrian asylum migration to Europe
| Authors | Sarah Nurse, Martin Hinsch, Jakub Bijak |
| Year | 2023 |
| Journal Name | Open Research Europe |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Investigating immersion and migration decisions for agent-based modelling: A cautionary tale
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Ariana Modirrousta-Galian, Philip A Higham, ... |
| Year | 2023 |
| Journal Name | Open Research Europe |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Investigating immersion and migration decisions for agent-based modelling: A cautionary tale
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, Ariana Modirrousta-Galian, Philip A Higham, ... |
| Year | 2023 |
| Journal Name | Open Research Europe |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
The Democratic Republic of the Congo armed conflict 1998-2004: Assessing excess mortality based on factual and cournter-factual projection scenarios
| Authors | Richard Kapend, Jakub Bijak, Andrew Hinde |
| Year | 2020 |
| Journal Name | Quetelet Journal |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Assessing time series models for forecasting international migration: Lessons from the United Kingdom
| Authors | Jakub Bijak, George Disney, Allan M. Findlay, ... |
| Year | 2019 |
| Journal Name | Journal of Forecasting |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
Bayesian Methods in International Migration Forecasting
| Authors | Jakub Bijak |
| Book Title | International Migration in Europe |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
When Demography Met Social Simulation: A Tale of Two Modelling Approaches
| Authors | Eric Silverman, Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, ... |
| Journal Name | Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
A Fast Embedded Language for Continuous-Time Agent-Based Simulation
| Authors | Till Koester, Till Köster, Oliver Reinhardt, ... |
| Journal Name | Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation |
| Citations (WoS) | 1 |
| Taxonomy | View Taxonomy Associations |
How safe is this trip? Judging personal safety in a pandemic based on information from different sources.
| Authors | Toby Prike, Jakub Bijak, Philip A. Higham, ... |
| Journal Name | Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied |
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