Jakub Bijak is Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton. He is a statistical demographer, with experience of working in academia and international civil service since 2001. His research focuses on demographic uncertainty, population and migration models and forecasts, and the demography of armed conflict. For his work on migration modelling he has been awarded the Allianz European Demographer Award (2015) and the Jerzy Z Holzer Medal (2007). He has experience in successfully...
Migration Reasearch Hub ID: 1130
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2563-5040

Expertise

Migration processes
Migration consequences (for migrants, sending and receiving countries)
Cross-cutting topics in migration research
Disciplines
Methods
Geographies

Roles

  • University of Southampton

    University, Southampton, United Kingdom
    Professor of Statistical Demography

Research

Toward an Early Warning System for Monitoring Asylum-Related Migration Flows in Europe

Authors Joanna Napierala, Jason Hilton, Jonathan J. Forster, ...
Year 2022
Journal Name International Migration Review
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1 Journal Article

Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography

Authors Jakub Bijak
Year 2021
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2 Book

A Framework for Estimating Migrant Stocks Using Digital Traces and Survey Data: An Application in the United Kingdom

Authors Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak, Agnese Vitali, ...
Year 2021
Journal Name Demography
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3 Journal Article

Migration Decision-Making and Its Key Dimensions

Authors Mathias Czaika, Jakub Bijak, Toby Prike
Year 2021
Journal Name The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
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4 Journal Article

Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda

Authors Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Jakub Bijak, Jonathan J. Forster, ...
Year 2019
Journal Name Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
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5 Journal Article

Streamlining Simulation Experiments with Agent-Based Models in Demography

Authors Oliver Reinhardt, Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, ...
Year 2018
Journal Name JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION
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6 Journal Article

Inferring transient dynamics of human populations from matrix non-normality

Authors Alex Nicol-Harper, Claire Dooley, David Packman, ...
Year 2018
Journal Name Population Ecology
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7 Journal Article

Smoothing mortality data: the English Life Tables , 2010-2012

Authors Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster, Jakub Bijak, ...
Year 2018
Journal Name Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
8 Journal Article

Choosing the choice: Reflections on modelling decisions and behaviour in demographic agent-based models

Authors Jonathan Gray, Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton
Year 2017
Journal Name Population Studies
Citations (WoS) 1
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9 Journal Article

The science of choice: an introduction

Authors F Willekens, A Prskawetz, Jakub Bijak, ...
Year 2017
Journal Name Population Studies
10 Journal Article

Model-Based Demography: Towards a Research Agenda

Authors Daniel Courgeau, Jakub Bijak, Robert Franck, ...
Year 2017
Book Title The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
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11 Book Chapter

Design and Analysis of Demographic Simulations

Authors Jason Hilton, Jakub Bijak
Year 2017
Book Title The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
12 Book Chapter

Warriors Die Young: Increased Mortality in Early Adulthood of Scythians from Glinoe, Moldova, Fourth through Second Centuries bc

Authors Sylwia Łukasik, Jakub Bijak, Marta Krenz-Niedbała, ...
Year 2017
Journal Name Journal of Anthropological Research
13 Journal Article

Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration

Authors Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Peter W. F. Smith, James Raymer, ...
Year 2016
Journal Name Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
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14 Journal Article

Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes

Authors Jakub Bijak, John Bryant
Year 2016
Journal Name Population Studies
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15 Journal Article

The Disputed Numbers: In Search of the Demographic Basis for Studies of Armenian Population Losses, 1915–1923

Authors Jakub Bijak, Sarah Lubman
Year 2016
Book Title The Armenian Genocide Legacy
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16 Book Chapter

A multilevel functional data method for forecasting population, with an application to the United Kingdom

Authors Han Lin Shang, Peter W.F. Smith, Jakub Bijak, ...
Year 2016
Journal Name International Journal of Forecasting
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17 Journal Article

Bayesian Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method

Authors Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Peter W. F. Smith, James Raymer, ...
Year 2015
Journal Name Demography
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18 Journal Article

Welfare participation: A comparison between immigrants and natives in the United Kingdom

Authors Nele van der Wielen, Jakub Bijak
Year 2015
Journal Name Migration Letters
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19 Journal Article

Letter to the Editor

Authors Jakub Bijak, Isabel Alberts, Juha Alho, ...
Year 2015
Journal Name Journal of Official Statistics
20 Journal Article

Forecasting Scottish Migration in the Context of the 2014 Constitutional Change Debate

Authors Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Han Lin Shang, Jakub Bijak
Year 2014
Journal Name Population, Space and Place
Citations (WoS) 5
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21 Journal Article

Semi-Artificial Models of Populations: Connecting Demography with Agent-Based Modelling

Authors Eric Silverman, Jakub Bijak, Jason Noble, ...
Year 2014
Book Title Advances in Computational Social Science
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22 Book Chapter

Quantifying paradigm change in demography

Authors Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman, Robert Franck, ...
Year 2014
Journal Name Demographic Research
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23 Journal Article

Are the four Baconian idols still alive in demography?

Authors Daniel Courgeau, Jakub Bijak, Robert Franck, ...
Year 2014
Journal Name Revue Quetelet/Quetelet Journal
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24 Journal Article

Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model

Authors Guy J. Abel, James Raymer, Jakub Bijak, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name Demographic Research
25 Journal Article

Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models

Authors Guy J. Abel, David McCollum, A Findlay, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name Population and Environment
Citations (WoS) 7
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26 Journal Article

Erratum to: Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models

Authors Guy Abel, Jakub Bijak, Allan Findlay, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name Population and Environment
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27 Journal Article

Reforging the Wedding Ring:

Authors Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman, Jason Hilton, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name Demographic Research
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28 Journal Article

The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002–2052

Authors Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, ...
Year 2013
Book Title The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
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29 Book Chapter

Integrated Modeling of European Migration

Authors James Raymer, Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Jonathan J. Forster, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name Journal of the American Statistical Association
30 Journal Article

Probability and Social Science. Methodological Relationships between the Two Approaches

Authors Jakub Bijak, Eric Silverman
Year 2013
Journal Name Population Studies
31 Journal Article

Utilising Expert Opinion to Improve the Measurement of International Migration in Europe

Authors Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Peter W. F. Smith, James Raymer, ...
Year 2013
Journal Name JOURNAL OF OFFICIAL STATISTICS
Citations (WoS) 8
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32 Journal Article

Dealing with Uncertain Forecasts: A Policy Perspective

Authors Jakub Bijak
Year 2011
Book Title Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View
34 Book Chapter

A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales

Authors Guy J Abel, Jakub Bijak, James Raymer
Year 2010
Journal Name Population Trends
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35 Journal Article

Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries by using expert knowledge

Authors Jakub Bijak, Arkadiusz Wiśniowski
Year 2010
Journal Name Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
36 Journal Article

Replacement Migration Revisited: Simulations of the Effects of Selected Population and Labor Market Strategies for the Aging Europe, 2002–2052

Authors Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski
Year 2008
Journal Name Population Research and Policy Review
Citations (WoS) 23
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39 Journal Article

Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-052: impact of international migration on population ageing

Authors Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, ...
Year 2007
Journal Name European Journal of Population
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40 Journal Article

War-related Deaths in the 1992–1995 Armed Conflicts in Bosnia and Herzegovina: A Critique of Previous Estimates and Recent Results

Authors Ewa Tabeau, Jakub Bijak
Year 2005
Journal Name European Journal of Population
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41 Journal Article

Assessing time series models for forecasting international migration: Lessons from the United Kingdom

Authors Jakub Bijak, George Disney, Allan M. Findlay, ...
Year 2019
Journal Name Journal of Forecasting
42 Journal Article

Bayesian Methods in International Migration Forecasting

Authors Jakub Bijak
Book Title International Migration in Europe
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43 Book Chapter

When Demography Met Social Simulation: A Tale of Two Modelling Approaches

Authors Eric Silverman, Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, ...
Journal Name Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
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44 Journal Article

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