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Global population projections by age, sex and education published by Lutz, Butz, and K.C. (2014). World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-first Century.
Population projections of educational attainment by age and sex for 195 countries.
The new set of projections by levels of educational attainment was produced by a large team of researchers at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions. It also includes population projections developed for the 5th assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) according to a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. There are two main areas where the new projections advance the state of the art beyond other existing global population projections (those that cover most world countries):
* They explicitly and systematically incorporate population heterogeneity by level of education, thereby illustrating how educational attainment can and should be routinely added to age and sex as a third demographic dimension.
* The assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and migration include the scientific input of more than 500 population experts around the world who responded to an online questionnaire and assessed the validity of alternative arguments as well as the conclusions of intensive discussions at five meta-expert meetings.
Version 1.2 includes the back projections from 2010 to 1970. More information in Speringer et al. 2015.
The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is:
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2015). Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 1.2. Available at: http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer
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